No. Carolina
W-L: ( 4- 4) PR = 89.1024Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 829 N TCU ( 4- 4, 87.3) 15- 10 912 H Ea Tenn State 35- 3 919 A Clemson ( 5- 3, 90.1) 20- 28 1003 H Notre Dame ( 7- 1, 99.1) 26- 37 1010 A Pittsburgh ( 6- 3, 88.7) 21- 17 1017 A Duke ( 6- 2, 89.3) 24- 20 1024 H Syracuse ( 3- 5, 81.7) 30- 31 1031 H Miami ( 8- 0, 99.8) 35- 38 1107 A UConn ( 5- 3, 83.1) 1114 H Louisville ( 5- 3, 92.3) 1121 A Virginia ( 4- 5, 83.2) 1128 H NC State ( 4- 4, 83.0)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
829 N TCU 15-10 5 2 + 3.22
919 A Clemson 20-28 -8 -4 - -3.80
1003 H Notre Dame 26-37 -11 -7 -- -4.21
1010 A Pittsburgh 21-17 4 -3 +++ 6.82
1017 A Duke 24-20 4 -3 +++ 7.36
1024 H Syracuse 30-31 -1 11 --- -11.63
1031 H Miami 35-38 -3 -7 ++ 4.46
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1024 H Syracuse 30-31 -1 11 --- -11.63 1003 H Notre Dame 26-37 -11 -7 -- -4.21 919 A Clemson 20-28 -8 -4 - -3.80 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1010 A Pittsburgh 21-17 4 -3 +++ 6.82 1017 A Duke 24-20 4 -3 +++ 7.36 1031 H Miami 35-38 -3 -7 ++ 4.46 829 N TCU 15-10 5 2 + 3.22 |
No. Carolina Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col | No. Carolina | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | No. Carolina | |
| California | No. Carolina | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | No. Carolina | |
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Duke | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Florida St | No. Carolina | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | No. Carolina | |
| Georgia Tech | No. Carolina | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | No. Carolina | |
| Louisville | Louisville | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Louisville | |
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| NC State | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Pittsburgh | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| SMU | No. Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | No. Carolina | |
| Stanford | No. Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | No. Carolina | |
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | ||
| Virginia | No. Carolina | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | No. Carolina | |
| Va. Tech | No. Carolina | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | No. Carolina | |
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Wake Forest | |
| Army | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Charlotte | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Ea. Carolina | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Fl. Atlantic | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Memphis | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Navy | No. Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | No. Carolina | |
| No. Texas | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Rice | No. Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | No. Carolina | |
| So. Florida | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Temple | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Tulane | No. Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | No. Carolina | |
| Tulsa | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| UAB | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| UTSA | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | ||
| Arizona St | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| BYU | BYU | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | BYU | |
| Baylor | Baylor | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Baylor | |
| Cincinnati | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Colorado | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Iowa State | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Kansas | No. Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | No. Carolina | |
| Kansas St | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | ||
| TCU | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | ||
| UCF | No. Carolina | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | No. Carolina | |
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We. Virginia | No. Carolina | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | No. Carolina | |
| Illinois | No. Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | No. Carolina | |
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Michigan | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Michigan St | No. Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | No. Carolina | |
| Minnesota | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Northwestern | Northwestern | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Purdue | No. Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | No. Carolina | |
| Rutgers | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| USC | USC | USC | ||
| Washington | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Wisconsin | |
| Florida Int | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| J'ville St | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Kennesaw St | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| La. Tech | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Mid. Tenn. | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| N. Mexico St | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Sam Houston | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| UTEP | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| We. Kentucky | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Mass. | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| UConn | No. Carolina | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | No. Carolina | |
| Akron | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Ball State | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Bowl'g Green | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Buffalo | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Ce. Michigan | No. Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | No. Carolina | |
| Ea. Michigan | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Kent St | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Miami (OH) | No. Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | No. Carolina | |
| No. Illinois | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Ohio | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Toledo | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| We. Michigan | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Air Force | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Boise St | Boise St | Boise St | ||
| Colorado St | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Fresno St | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Hawai'i | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Nevada | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| New Mexico | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| San Diego St | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| San Jose St | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| UNLV | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Utah St | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Wyoming | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Oregon St | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Wash. St | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Auburn | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky | ||
| LSU | LSU | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | LSU | |
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss. St | Miss. St | Miss. St | ||
| Oklahoma | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So. Carolina | So. Carolina | So. Carolina | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Vanderbilt | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| App State | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Arkansas St | No. Carolina | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | No. Carolina | |
| Coastal Car. | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Georgia So. | No. Carolina | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | No. Carolina | |
| Georgia St | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| J. Madison | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Louisiana | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Marshall | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Old Dominion | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| So. Miss | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| So. Alabama | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Texas St. | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Troy | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| UL Monroe | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Delaware | No. Carolina | No. Carolina | ||
| Missouri St | No. Carolina | No. Carolina |
PowerWise = 99
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.15
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 N TCU ( 4- 4, 87.3) 15-10 -12.58 20.66 -0.00 1.16 48.09
0 A Clemson ( 5- 3, 90.1) 20-28 -9.79 23.45 3.20 1.16 -3.84
0 H Notre Dame ( 7- 1, 99.1) 26-37 -0.81 32.43 -3.20 1.16 -2.33
0 A Pittsburgh ( 6- 3, 88.7) 21-17 -11.18 22.07 3.20 1.16 58.80
0 A Duke ( 6- 2, 89.3) 24-20 -10.64 22.60 3.20 1.16 60.05
0 H Syracuse ( 3- 5, 81.7) 30-31 -18.24 15.00 -3.20 1.16 -12.47
0 H Miami ( 8- 0, 99.8) 35-38 -0.14 33.10 -3.20 1.16 -1.94
------
146.37
|
winning pts = 166.9479 losing points = -20.5827
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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